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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 23.79% | 21.67% | 54.54% |
| Both teams to score 61.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.92% | 37.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.72% | 59.28% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% | 28.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% | 64.37% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% | 13.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.16% | 40.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.09% 1-0 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.4% Total : 23.79% | 1-1 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 6.43% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 4.03% 1-4 @ 3.2% 0-4 @ 2.56% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.28% 0-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.54% |