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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 63.37% | 19.47% | 17.17% |
| Both teams to score 58.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.78% | 36.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.66% | 58.34% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.11% | 10.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.96% | 35.04% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% | 34.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 7.26% 3-0 @ 6.79% 4-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-2 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.76% Total : 63.37% | 1-1 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 3.74% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.47% | 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-1 @ 4% 0-2 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.74% Total : 17.17% |