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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 47.74% | 23.99% | 28.27% |
| Both teams to score 57.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.05% | 43.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% | 66.34% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% | 18.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% | 49.8% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% | 28.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% | 64.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.42% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.48% Total : 28.27% |