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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
43.75% | 25.51% | 30.73% |
Both teams to score 54.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.66% | 49.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% | 71.39% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% | 22.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% | 56.04% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.13% | 29.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% | 65.95% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |