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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
| 43.75% | 25.51% | 30.73% |
| Both teams to score 54.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% | 49.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% | 71.39% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% | 22.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.95% | 56.04% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% | 65.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.73% |