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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 50.06% | 24.22% | 25.72% |
| Both teams to score 55.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% | 46.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% | 69.1% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% | 18.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% | 50.15% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% | 32.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% | 68.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.73% |