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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Groningen |
48.55% | 24.06% | 27.4% |
Both teams to score 57.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.79% | 67.22% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% | 18.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.14% | 49.86% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% | 29.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.94% | 66.06% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.55% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |