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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Emmen |
| 60.01% | 21.66% | 18.34% |
| Both teams to score 53.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% | 44.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% | 66.74% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% | 14.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.75% | 42.25% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% | 37.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% | 74.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 6.43% 4-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 3.12% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.25% 5-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.76% Total : 60% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.45% 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.28% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.34% |