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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Vitesse |
36.74% | 24.69% | 38.57% |
Both teams to score 58.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.76% | 44.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.38% | 66.62% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% | 23.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.09% | 57.91% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% | 22.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.49% | 56.52% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.27% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |