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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
48.61% | 24.06% | 27.32% |
Both teams to score 56.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.05% | 44.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.69% | 67.3% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% | 18.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.12% | 49.87% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% | 30.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% | 66.18% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.61% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-1 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |