/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
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Jesper Karlsson
5'
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Myron Boadu
40'
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Ferdy Druijf
75'
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Lois Openda
46'
AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F45%2Fazsoc.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
48.61%
Draw
24.06%
Vitesse
27.32%
Both Teams to Score:
56.94%
Goals
Over 2.5
55.05%
Under 2.5
44.95%
Over 3.5
32.69%
Under 3.5
67.3%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
81.41%
Under 0.5
18.59%
Over 1.5
50.12%
Under 1.5
49.87%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
69.95%
Under 0.5
30.05%
Over 1.5
33.82%
Under 1.5
66.18%
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
48.61%
Draw
24.06%
Vitesse
27.32%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.51%
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.61%
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.61%
Draw
1-1
@
11.3%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.06%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.06%
Vitesse
1-2
@
6.79%
0-1 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.32%
