Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.