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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 55.04% | 22.91% | 22.05% |
| Both teams to score 55.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% | 44.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% | 67.13% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% | 16.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% | 45.58% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% | 34.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.03% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.93% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.05% |