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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 24.94% | 23.43% | 51.62% |
| Both teams to score 56.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% | 44.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% | 66.46% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% | 31.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% | 67.82% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% | 17.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.67% | 47.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 6.36% 1-0 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-1 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 5.71% 0-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.52% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.62% |