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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
47.67% | 25.44% | 26.9% |
Both teams to score 52.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.92% | 51.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.07% | 72.94% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.56% | 21.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.54% | 54.46% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% | 33.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% | 70.25% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.41% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
3 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |