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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 27.33% | 23.21% | 49.46% |
| Both teams to score 59.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% | 41.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% | 28.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% | 63.68% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% | 16.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% | 46.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 6.79% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.33% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-1 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.53% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.46% |