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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
60.61% | 21.51% | 17.88% |
Both teams to score 52.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% | 44.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% | 66.81% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.79% | 14.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.07% | 41.93% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.53% | 38.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.78% | 75.22% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 10.66% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 6.47% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.78% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.24% Total : 17.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |