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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 60.61% | 21.51% | 17.88% |
| Both teams to score 52.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% | 44.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.19% | 66.81% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% | 14.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.07% | 41.93% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% | 38.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% | 75.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 6.47% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.78% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.24% Total : 17.88% |