KNVB Beker | Final

Apr 18, 2021 at 5pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
2 - 1
Vitesse

Gravenberch (23'), Openda (30'), Neres (90+1')
Tannane (63'), Toure (72'), Wittek (74'), Bero (90+3'), Tagliafico (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between Ajax and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
57.72%	20.54%	21.74%

Both teams to score 62.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.86%

34.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.97%

56.03%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.24%

11.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.06%

36.93%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38%

28.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57%

64.43%

Score Analysis

Ajax 57.72%

Vitesse 21.74%

Draw 20.54%

Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 7.71% 1-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-2 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 3.68% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 0.99% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.75% Total : 57.72%	1-1 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.54%	1-2 @ 5.64% 0-1 @ 4.21% 0-2 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.29% Total : 21.74%

How you voted: Ajax vs Vitesse

Ajax

73.3%

Draw

16.7%

Vitesse

10.0%

Ajax2 - 1Vitesse

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

How you voted: Ajax vs Vitesse

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Ajax
2 - 1
Vitesse