Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals

Apr 15, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
Ajax

Dzeko (72')
Ibanez (43'), Veretout (67'), Mancini (68'), Dzeko (79'), Cristante (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brobbey (49')
Tagliafico (89'), Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Ajax
31.68%	22.12%	46.2%

Both teams to score 66.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67%

33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.27%

54.73%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75%

21.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.84%

54.16%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.07%

14.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.68%

43.32%

Score Analysis

Roma 31.68%

Ajax 46.2%

Draw 22.12%

Roma	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.24% 1-0 @ 4.91% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.65% Total : 31.68%	1-1 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 6.88% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 2.25% Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 5.63% 2-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 2.68% 2-4 @ 2.08% 0-4 @ 1.73% 3-4 @ 1.07% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.2%

How you voted: Roma vs Ajax

Roma

41.9%

Draw

16.2%

Ajax