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Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 11, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 1
Ajax

FT(HT: 0-1)
Haller (14')
Alvarez (40'), Martinez (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
8.26%12.68%79.06%
Both teams to score 56.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.26%25.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.11%45.89%
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.34%40.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.74%77.26%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.89%5.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.68%20.32%
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 8.26%
    Ajax 79.06%
    Draw 12.68%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 2.5%
1-0 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 8.26%
1-1 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 3.72%
0-0 @ 2.08%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 12.68%
0-2 @ 9.2%
0-3 @ 9.12%
1-2 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 8.21%
0-4 @ 6.78%
0-1 @ 6.19%
1-4 @ 6.1%
0-5 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.69%
1-5 @ 3.63%
2-4 @ 2.75%
0-6 @ 2%
1-6 @ 1.8%
2-5 @ 1.63%
Other @ 5.67%
Total : 79.06%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
Draw
7.1%
Ajax
78.6%
14