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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
8.26% | 12.68% | 79.06% |
Both teams to score 56.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.26% | 25.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.11% | 45.89% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.34% | 40.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.74% | 77.26% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.89% | 5.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.68% | 20.32% |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 2.5% 1-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.77% Total : 8.26% | 1-1 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 3.72% 0-0 @ 2.08% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.68% | 0-2 @ 9.2% 0-3 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 8.21% 0-4 @ 6.78% 0-1 @ 6.19% 1-4 @ 6.1% 0-5 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 3.69% 1-5 @ 3.63% 2-4 @ 2.75% 0-6 @ 2% 1-6 @ 1.8% 2-5 @ 1.63% Other @ 5.67% Total : 79.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |