Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals

Apr 8, 2021 at 8pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
1 - 2
Roma

Klaassen (39')
Rensch (71'), Martinez (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pellegrini (57'), Ibanez (87')
Peres (78'), Cristante (90'), Calafiori (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.39%. A win for Roma had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 3-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Roma
59.39%	19.6%	21.02%

Both teams to score 65.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.55%

30.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.27%

51.73%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.81%

10.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.54%

33.46%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91%

27.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.53%

62.47%

Score Analysis

Ajax 59.39%

Roma 21.02%

Draw 19.6%

Ajax	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 7.16% 1-0 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 4.67% 4-1 @ 4.09% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 1.87% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-2 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.61% Total : 59.39%	1-1 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 2.76% 3-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.6%	1-2 @ 5.38% 0-1 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.65% Total : 21.02%

How you voted: Ajax vs Roma

Ajax

72.1%

Draw

13.8%

Roma

14.0%