Europa League
Apr 8, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Davy Klaassen 39' goal
  • Devyne Rensch 71' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 57'
  • yellowcard Bruno Peres 78'
  • goal Ibanez 87'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 90'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 90'+4'

Ajax vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Roma

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.39%. A win for Roma had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 3-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Ajax 59.39%
Draw 19.6%
Roma 21.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.48%

Goals

Over 2.5 69.55%
Under 2.5 30.45%
Over 3.5 48.27%
Under 3.5 51.73%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 89.81%
Under 0.5 10.19%
Over 1.5 66.54%
Under 1.5 33.46%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 72.91%
Under 0.5 27.09%
Over 1.5 37.53%
Under 1.5 62.47%

Score analysis

Ajax 59.39%
Draw 19.6%
Roma 21.02%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 7.16%
1-0 @ 6.3%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 4.67%
4-1 @ 4.09%
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-2 @ 2.67%
5-1 @ 1.87%
5-0 @ 1.43%
5-2 @ 1.22%
4-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 59.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 2.76%
3-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.6%
Roma
1-2 @ 5.38%
0-1 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-2 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 21.02%