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Europa League

Ajax
Europa League | Round of 16
Mar 11, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Young Boys

Ajax
3 - 0
Young Boys

Klaassen (62'), Tadic (82'), Brobbey (90+2')
Tagliafico (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lauper (49'), Aebischer (64'), Sierro (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Young Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Young Boys win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawYoung Boys
57.77%21.61%20.62%
Both teams to score 57.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.24%40.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.85%63.15%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12%13.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71%41.29%
Young Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57%33.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94%70.06%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 57.77%
    Young Boys 20.62%
    Draw 21.61%
AjaxDrawYoung Boys
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 9.05%
3-1 @ 6.53%
3-0 @ 5.96%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 3.22%
4-0 @ 2.94%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 57.77%
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-1 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Ajax vs Young Boys

Ajax
82.2%
Draw
10.7%
Young Boys
7.1%
467