KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen0 - 3Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
17.24% | 18.18% | 64.58% |
Both teams to score 63.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.31% | 29.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.18% | 50.82% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% | 30.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% | 66.32% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.24% | 8.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.91% | 30.09% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen 17.24%
Ajax 64.58%
Draw 18.18%
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 4.62% 1-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.25% 2-0 @ 1.9% 3-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.46% Total : 17.24% | 1-1 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 2.64% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.18% | 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 6.36% 1-4 @ 4.64% 2-3 @ 4.57% 0-4 @ 3.87% 2-4 @ 2.78% 1-5 @ 2.26% 0-5 @ 1.89% 2-5 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.11% 1-6 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.54% Total : 64.58% |
How you voted: Heerenveen vs Ajax
Heerenveen
15.2%Draw
2.2%Ajax
82.6%46
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
Ajax
5-1
Heerenveen
Mar 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Heerenveen
1-3
Ajax
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
4-1
Heerenveen
Jan 24, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
3-1
Heerenveen
Jan 20, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
4-4
Heerenveen
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 00:38:11
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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