Europa League

Europa League | Round of 32

Feb 18, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 2
Ajax

Weah (72')
Celik (17'), Yazici (40'), Maignan (88'), Sanches (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tadic (87' pen.), Brobbey (89')
Alvarez (12'), Blind (66'), Rensch (77'), Brobbey (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lille and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Ajax
33.46%	24.84%	41.7%

Both teams to score 57.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.54%

45.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.21%

67.79%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8%

26.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71%

61.28%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2%

21.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45%

55%

Score Analysis

Lille 33.46%

Ajax 41.7%

Draw 24.84%

Lille	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.7%

How you voted: Lille vs Ajax

Lille

49.4%

Draw

14.7%

Ajax

35.8%