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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.87%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 1-3 (6.94%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
21.8% | 20.33% | 57.87% |
Both teams to score 63.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.98% | 33.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.25% | 54.74% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% | 27.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% | 63.55% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% | 11.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.92% | 36.08% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.62% 1-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.6% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.47% Total : 21.8% | 1-1 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 6.9% 0-3 @ 5.44% 2-3 @ 4.43% 1-4 @ 3.77% 0-4 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 1.64% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-5 @ 1.05% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.95% Total : 57.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |