Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 20.68% | 25.57% | 53.75% |
| Both teams to score 45.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% | 56.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% | 77.76% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.44% | 42.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.08% | 78.92% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% | 21.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% | 54.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% 2-1 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.13% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.68% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 13.99% 0-2 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.73% |