Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nantes |
| 32.46% | 28.4% | 39.14% |
| Both teams to score 46.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.76% | 80.23% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% | 34.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% | 70.81% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% | 29.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% | 65.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.51% Total : 39.13% |