Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Jan 24, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
0 - 5
Lyon

Kolodziejczak (54'), Hamouma (74'), Bouanga (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kadewere (16', 68'), Marcelo (36', 59'), Bouanga (82' og.)
Guimaraes (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lyon
20.85%	23.87%	55.29%

Both teams to score 50.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.78%

50.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.82%

72.18%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4%

38.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.65%

75.35%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97%

18.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.08%

48.92%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 20.85%

Lyon 55.28%

Draw 23.87%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 6.63% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.85%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 11.92% 0-2 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.28%