AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Amsterdam Arena
Groningen

Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen

Gravenberch (5'), Haller (54'), Tadic (77' pen.)
Kudus (48'), Klaassen (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
El Messaoudi (84')
te Wierik (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawGroningen
75.01%14.74%10.26%
Both teams to score 56.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.34%29.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.21%50.79%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.36%6.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.34%24.66%
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3%39.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62%76.38%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 75.01%
    Groningen 10.26%
    Draw 14.74%
AjaxDrawGroningen
2-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 8.1%
1-0 @ 7.15%
4-0 @ 5.95%
4-1 @ 5.49%
3-2 @ 3.74%
5-0 @ 3.23%
5-1 @ 2.98%
4-2 @ 2.54%
6-0 @ 1.46%
5-2 @ 1.38%
6-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 75.01%
1-1 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 4.14%
0-0 @ 2.64%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 14.74%
1-2 @ 3.05%
0-1 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-2 @ 1.13%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 10.26%

How you voted: Ajax vs Groningen

Ajax
94.9%
Draw
5.1%
Groningen
0.0%
39
rhs 2.0


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