Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
