Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 21, 2021 at 7pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
4 - 2
Sparta

Haller (14', 37'), Schuurs (45+4'), Kudus (50')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Gravenberch (53', 90+1')
Heylen (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.3%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
79.3%	12.43%	8.27%

Both teams to score 57.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.8%

24.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.12%

43.88%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.23%

4.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.7%

19.3%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.65%

39.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.95%

76.06%

Score Analysis

Ajax 79.3%

Sparta Rotterdam 8.27%

Draw 12.43%

Ajax	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
3-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 8.11% 4-0 @ 6.71% 4-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 5.72% 5-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.84% 5-1 @ 3.81% 4-2 @ 2.92% 6-0 @ 2.07% 6-1 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 0.91% 6-2 @ 0.9% 7-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.59% Total : 79.3%	1-1 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.78% 0-0 @ 1.88% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.43%	1-2 @ 2.49% 0-1 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.86% Total : 8.27%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sparta

Ajax

100%

Draw

0.0%

Sparta Rotterdam