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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.3%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
79.3% | 12.43% | 8.27% |
Both teams to score 57.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.8% | 24.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.12% | 43.88% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.23% | 4.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.7% | 19.3% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% | 39.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% | 76.06% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
3-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 8.11% 4-0 @ 6.71% 4-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 5.72% 5-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.84% 5-1 @ 3.81% 4-2 @ 2.92% 6-0 @ 2.07% 6-1 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 0.91% 7-0 @ 0.9% 6-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.59% Total : 79.3% | 1-1 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.78% 0-0 @ 1.88% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.43% | 1-2 @ 2.49% 0-1 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.86% Total : 8.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
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