Europa League

Europa League | Round of 32

Feb 25, 2021 at 5.55pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
2 - 1
Lille

Klaassen (15'), Neres (88')
Maduro (63'), Neres (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yazici (78' pen.)
Maignan (15'), Djalo (59'), Sanches (65'), Fonte (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.57%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Lille
53.77%	19.58%	26.65%

Both teams to score 73.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.21%

23.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.68%

43.32%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.54%

9.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.23%

31.77%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67%

19.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9%

51.1%

Score Analysis

Ajax 53.77%

Lille 26.65%

Draw 19.58%

Ajax	Draw	Lille
2-1 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 6.57% 3-2 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 5.08% 1-0 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 4% 4-1 @ 3.87% 4-2 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.83% 4-3 @ 1.74% 5-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 4.46% Total : 53.77%	1-1 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 6.87% 3-3 @ 2.96% 0-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.58%	1-2 @ 5.82% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-1 @ 3.01% 0-2 @ 2.47% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.35% 1-4 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.65%