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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
| 41.89% | 24.05% | 34.06% |
| Both teams to score 60.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% | 64% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% | 20.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% | 52.31% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% | 24.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% | 58.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.02% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-1 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.06% |