Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16

Mar 11, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Shakhtar

Pellegrini (23'), El Shaarawy (73'), Mancini (77')
Kumbulla (55'), Mancini (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Patrick (58'), Maycon (74'), Taison (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
54.24%	26.46%	19.31%

Both teams to score 41.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.84%

61.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.88%

81.12%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21%

22.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.51%

56.49%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.35%

46.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.78%

82.22%

Score Analysis

Roma 54.23%

Shakhtar Donetsk 19.31%

Draw 26.45%

Roma	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 15.72% 2-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 8.87% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 4.37% 4-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.53% Total : 54.23%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.37% Total : 19.31%