AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Ajax

Heerenveen
1 - 2
Ajax

van Bergen (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tadic (36' pen.), Haller (61')
Tagliafico (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAjax
11.67%17.06%71.28%
Both teams to score 52.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.73%37.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.51%59.49%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43%42.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07%78.93%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.75%9.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.73%31.27%
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 11.67%
    Ajax 71.27%
    Draw 17.06%
HeerenveenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.42%
1-0 @ 3.36%
2-0 @ 1.44%
3-2 @ 1.16%
3-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 11.67%
1-1 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4.07%
0-0 @ 3.94%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.06%
0-2 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-1 @ 9.37%
0-3 @ 8.86%
1-3 @ 7.56%
0-4 @ 5.27%
1-4 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-5 @ 2.51%
1-5 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.92%
0-6 @ 1%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 71.27%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Ajax

Heerenveen
3.6%
Draw
3.6%
Ajax
92.9%
28