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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 55.41% | 23.8% | 20.79% |
| Both teams to score 50.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% | 50.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% | 72% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% | 17.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.29% | 48.71% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% | 38.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% | 75.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.79% |