Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16

Mar 18, 2021 at 5.55pm UK

Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Shakhtar
1 - 2
Roma

Moraes (59')
Antonio (38'), Patrick (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mayoral (48', 72')
Ibanez (25'), Karsdorp (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Roma
34.69%	23.46%	41.84%

Both teams to score 63.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.4%

38.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11%

60.89%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73%

22.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29%

55.71%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15%

18.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.7%

50.29%

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 34.69%

Roma 41.84%

Draw 23.45%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.41% Total : 34.69%	1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.49% Total : 41.84%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Roma

Shakhtar Donetsk

40.6%

Draw

12.5%

Roma

46.9%