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Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Braga

Roma
3 - 1
Braga

Dzeko (24'), Perez (75'), Mayoral (90+1')
Veretout (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cristante (88' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braga had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawBraga
53.8%23.74%22.45%
Both teams to score 52.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11%47.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93%70.07%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62%48.37%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29%35.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52%72.47%
Score Analysis
    Roma 53.8%
    Braga 22.45%
    Draw 23.73%
RomaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.47%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-0 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Roma vs Braga

Roma
75.2%
Draw
20.8%
Braga
4.0%
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