Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Genoa |
| 69.93% | 17.72% | 12.35% |
| Both teams to score 51.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% | 38.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.07% | 60.93% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% | 9.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.16% | 32.84% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.66% | 42.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.27% | 78.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 11.21% 1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-0 @ 4.99% 4-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.19% 5-0 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.72% Total : 69.93% | 1-1 @ 8.34% 0-0 @ 4.2% 2-2 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.72% | 0-1 @ 3.61% 1-2 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.35% |