Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 36.13% | 26.3% | 37.57% |
| Both teams to score 53.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% | 51.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% | 73.27% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% | 27.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% | 62.96% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% | 26.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% | 61.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.57% |