Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
