Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Genoa |
| 44.49% | 24.74% | 30.77% |
| Both teams to score 56.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% | 45.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% | 68.27% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% | 20.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% | 53.35% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% | 28.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% | 63.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.4% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.77% |