Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Dec 13, 2020 at 5pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 3
Juventus

Sturaro (61')
Goldaniga (15'), Perin (88'), Bani (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dybala (57'), Ronaldo (78' pen., 89' pen.)
Rabiot (2'), McKennie (78'), Bentancur (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 69.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Juventus
12.8%	17.72%	69.48%

Both teams to score 53.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.58%

37.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.35%

59.65%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16%

40.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.59%

77.41%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.29%

9.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.64%

32.36%

Score Analysis

Genoa 12.8%

Juventus 69.47%

Draw 17.72%

Genoa	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 3.71% 1-0 @ 3.55% 2-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.55% Total : 12.8%	1-1 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.33% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.72%	0-2 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 9.25% 0-3 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 7.51% 0-4 @ 4.89% 1-4 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.36% 0-5 @ 2.28% 1-5 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.96% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 4.07% Total : 69.47%