Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Spezia |
| 40.76% | 25.83% | 33.41% |
| Both teams to score 54.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% | 49.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% | 71.84% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% | 58.5% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% | 28.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% | 64.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.41% |