Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37%. A win for Parma had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Benevento |
| 36.55% | 26.45% | 37% |
| Both teams to score 52.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% | 52.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% | 73.8% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% | 27.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.98% | 63.02% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% | 27.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% | 62.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.01% |