Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Oct 18, 2020 at 5pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
3 - 2
Parma

Samir (28'), Iacoponi (52' og.), Pussetto (88')
Becao (32'), Arslan (44'), Makengo (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hernani (26'), Karamoh (70')
Brugman (57'), Iacoponi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday evening's Serie A encounter between Udinese and Parma, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Parma
40.02%	27.05%	32.93%

Both teams to score 50.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07%

54.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78%

76.22%

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11%

26.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79%

62.21%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81%

31.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47%

67.53%

Score Analysis

Udinese 40.01%

Parma 32.93%

Draw 27.05%

Udinese	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.01%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.93%

Serie A

Udinese3 - 2Parma

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Udinese
3 - 2
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