Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Aug 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Via del Mare

Lecce
3 - 4
Parma

Barak (40'), Meccariello (45'), Lapadula (68')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Lucioni (11' og.), Caprari (24'), Cornelius (52'), Inglese (66')
Kurtic (34'), Alves (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Parma
44.66%	23.84%	31.49%

Both teams to score 60.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.49%

41.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.09%

63.91%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16%

18.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.71%

50.29%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51%

25.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67%

60.32%

Score Analysis

Lecce 44.66%

Parma 31.49%

Draw 23.83%

Lecce	Draw	Parma
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.66%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.49%

Serie A

Lecce3 - 4Parma

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Lecce
3 - 4
Parma