Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 40%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
| 32.16% | 27.85% | 40% |
| Both teams to score 47.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% | 78.77% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% | 69.97% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% | 64.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.16% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.99% |