Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Parma |
| 41.75% | 25.29% | 32.96% |
| Both teams to score 56.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% | 47.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% | 69.79% |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% | 22.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% | 56.35% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% | 63.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.75% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.96% |