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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 8, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Parma logo

Roma
2 - 1
Parma

Mkhitaryan (43'), Veretout (57')
Cristante (9'), Peres (49'), Diawara (71'), Mkhitaryan (78'), Ibanez (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kucka (9' pen.)
Kurtic (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Roma and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawParma
63.43%20.19%16.38%
Both teams to score 54.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85%41.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.46%63.54%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66%12.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.85%38.15%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72%38.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96%75.04%
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.43%
    Parma 16.38%
    Draw 20.19%
RomaDrawParma
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-0 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.33%
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 63.43%
1-1 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 4.77%
0-0 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-1 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.38%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2020 8.15pm
Round of 16
Parma
0-2
Roma

Laurini (37'), Dermaku (56')
Pellegrini (49', 76')
Under (54'), Pellegrini (57')
Nov 10, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 12
Parma
2-0
Roma
Sprocati (68'), Cornelius (93')
Scozzarella (24'), Barilla (75'), Hernani (76')

Zaniolo (11'), Kluivert (78')
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
Roma
2-1
Parma
Pellegrini (35'), Perotti (89')
Perotti (40'), Pellegrini (78')
Gervinho (86')
Kucka (38')
Dec 29, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 19
Parma
0-2
Roma

Barilla (67')
Cristante (58'), Under (75')
Kolarov (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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