Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Bologna |
| 30.39% | 25.33% | 44.28% |
| Both teams to score 54.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% | 48.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% | 70.83% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% | 29.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% | 65.86% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% | 21.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% | 55.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.34% Total : 44.28% |