Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Brescia |
72.76% | 16.6% | 10.64% |
Both teams to score 50.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.93% | 38.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.66% | 60.34% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.89% | 9.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.07% | 30.93% |
Brescia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.07% | 44.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.12% | 80.87% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Brescia |
2-0 @ 11.74% 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 7.51% 4-0 @ 5.62% 4-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3% 5-0 @ 2.69% 5-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.8% 6-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.07% Total : 72.75% | 1-1 @ 7.85% 0-0 @ 4.09% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.6% | 0-1 @ 3.27% 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-2 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 32 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |