Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Brescia |
| 72.76% | 16.6% | 10.64% |
| Both teams to score 50.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.93% | 38.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.66% | 60.34% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% | 9.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.07% | 30.93% |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.07% | 44.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.12% | 80.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Brescia |
| 2-0 @ 11.74% 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 7.51% 4-0 @ 5.62% 4-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3% 5-0 @ 2.69% 5-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.8% 6-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.07% Total : 72.75% | 1-1 @ 7.85% 0-0 @ 4.09% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.6% | 0-1 @ 3.27% 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-2 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.64% |